Friday, May 3, 2019

Thoughts on the upcoming presidential primary.

So when it comes to politics in the United States, it's not exactly a secret that I pay a lot of attention to what happens in the country. I tend to follow politics on a daily basis and I spend a lot of time trying to figure out what's going on and how things will go.

Naturally, the most interesting thing at the moment is the upcoming democratic presidential primary. I'm more than interested in knowing which candidate will be the one that will go against president Trump in the next year's presidential election. 

So when it comes to the democratic presidential hopefuls, there a lot of candidates for the voters to choose from. There's the establishment ones (Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Beto O'Rourke etc.) and the progressives ones (Bernie Sanders, Liz Warren, Tulsi Gabbard). 

Based on the current available polling data, it might seem that president Barack Obama's (former) vice-president Joe Biden is the most popular candidate. He's the one who has a clear lead in the polls and who seems to be the front runner.

However, there are a lot of reasons why one should not start banking on Biden ending up being the nominee of the democratic party. Just because he has a big lead in the polls doesn't mean that things are going to remain that way for long. 

After all, there are a lot of reasons why Biden's 'Obama nostalgia' candidacy won't carry him to the White House again. As a politician he has been on the wrong side of history so many times that he has simply too much baggage on him.

Among other things, Biden (the Forrest Gump of bad politics) voted for the disastrous Iraq war resolution in 2003. He wrote the infamous crime bill too and was _the_ guy who let republicans defame Anita Hill during the Clarence Thomas supreme court hearings in the 90s. 

Furthermore, Biden has been the biggest cheerleader for corporate & banking interests in the U.S. He's voted for every deregulation bill (including the repeal of Glass-Steagall) and was an eager supporter of the bankruptcy bill that was designed to hurt poor people.

So when you combine all these bad these things about him, it's not that surprising that he doesn't have a good track record. It's pretty obvious that he wouldn't be a change agent or a transformative president as a commander in chief.

After all, let's not forget that the whole reason that Trump won the presidency in 2016 was because the voters were sick and tired of the status quo. They rejected Hillary Clinton and were desperate to vote for anyone that would promise them change and relief.

In that sense, since there are a lot of good progressive candidates on the democratic side, I really hope that the voters aren't easily fooled this time. Hopefully they'll see who the 'good' candidates are and that they are willing to back the progressive ones.

After all, especially in the case of senator Bernie Sanders, who is pushing for things like Medicare For All (Biden of course is against it), Bernie has a solid chance this time. He's well known and has been on the side right of history for basically his whole political life. 

Still, when it comes to this whole thing, since we're talking about the United States and its millions of low information voters, it's hard to predict how things will go. It's not guaranteed that solid candidates like Sanders or Warren are going to make it. 

In the end, especially considering that the so called mainstream media (CNN, MSNBC etc.) are so viciously anti-progressive, I'm not certain that things are going to go well. There's certainly a possibility that we'll get a redux of 2016 in the 2020 election too. 

In that sense, based on everything that we know, we can only hope that once the debate season starts, the voters will choose wisely this time in the democratic primaries. We can only hope that they'll choose the best candidate.

After all, even though Trump might not be as horrendous (or an outlier) as some might say, he's still a bad president. He's a bad president and clearly the country deserves better than him or a neoliberal corporate establishment tool like Joe Biden.

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